Beacon Capital Management Newsletter
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market spotlight
market spotlight | monthly review

Monthly Review

As winter weather finally lost its chokehold on the U.S. economy, investors grew increasingly comfortable with the Federal Reserve’s slow-and-steady approach to determine when to raise short-term interest rates. Historic highs were reached by the large-cap Dow (18351) and S&P 500 (2134); the small-cap Nasdaq (5164) and Russell 2000 (1296) also reached all-time highs during the second quarter. Unfortunately, those gains were all but wiped out as the financial crisis in Greece affected markets domestically and around the world. Both the Dow and S&P 500 lost 0.88 percentage points and 0.23 percentage points respectively compared to the end of the first quarter. The Nasdaq and Russell 2000 still finished ahead of last quarter, but not by much.

U.S. Treasury prices declined from the first quarter, with corresponding yields making their biggest gains since 2013. The decrease in bond prices was largely attributable to increased consumer spending coupled with investor confidence in the equity markets, which encouraged more money shifting from bonds to equities. Lower unemployment rates along with a slowly improving economy are additional factors leading to lower prices/higher yields.

Oil prices grew to $59 a barrel during the quarter, pushing gas prices higher. Gold, meanwhile, also felt the effects of the global economy, finishing the quarter down at roughly $1,172 an ounce.


Market/Index 2014
As of
DJIA 17823.07 17619.51 -2.17% -0.88% -1.14%
NASDAQ 4736.05 4986.87 -1.64% 1.75% 5.30%
S&P 500 2058.90 2063.11 -2.10% -0.23% 0.20%
Russell 2000 1204.70 1253.95 0.60% 0.09% 4.09%
Global Dow 2501.66 2513.38 -2.81% 0.19% 0.47%
Fed. Funds .25% .25% .25% 0 bps 0 bps
10-year Treasuries 2.17% 2.35% 23 bps 41 bps 18 bps

Chart reflects price changes, not total return. Because it does not include dividends or splits, it should not be used to benchmark performance of specific investments.

The Month In Review

  • Globally, economic woes in Greece, China, and Puerto Rico serve to illustrate just how fragile the economy is in other parts of the world. The worsening financial crisis in Greece has caused markets to tumble across the globe. The declines came as Greece shut down its banking system and its central bank initiated actions to institute controls aimed at stopping money from leaving the country, which might otherwise cause banks to collapse. Cash withdrawals are limited to 60 euros ($67) per day, causing long lines at ATMs. With Greece missing its scheduled debt repayment, the odds increased that Greece might exit the eurozone, all of which has prompted the markets to fall as investors were in a sell, sell, sell mode. A voter referendum scheduled for July 5 may determine whether the country will accept financial and economic constraints proposed by creditors, which could lead to continued relief, while a “no” vote could lead to an uncertain financial future for Greece.
China, which has been experiencing favorable market returns for several years, saw its stocks sink the most in five years after reports from several high profile analysts among other analysts warned that valuations had climbed too far, according to Bloomberg. In response to the selloff in Chinese stocks, the People’s Bank of China (the country’s central bank) cut both its benchmark interest rates and the amount of reserves certain banks are required to hold. All this as the country continues efforts to promote an economy driven by private business and consumer spending rather than infrastructure (government-sponsored) outlays and exports. Puerto Rico, with its economy ailing, has indicated that it cannot pay its debts. Puerto Rican bond holders are looking at significant losses, as the central government may run out of cash within a month, according to the Wall Street Journal.However, at the time of this writing, Puerto Rico was close to a deal with its creditors to avoid default.
  • In spite of the latest financial upheaval in Europe, the domestic economy is showing continued signs of improving in the second quarter, following a similar trend begun at the end of the first quarter. Nevertheless, there are still several sectors lagging as described by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen in her June update. Some of the factors that have led the Federal Open Market Committee to refrain from raising interest rates include lagging exports (primarily due to the strength of the dollar), continued weakness in the labor market, and subdued wage growth. In addition, if the global economic tumult hits the United States, the Fed could further delay an interest rate hike.
  • The revised estimate for the first quarter gross domestic product substantiates Chairperson Yellen’s analysis of the economy. Several factors, including unusually severe weather, the West Coast port strike, and the strong dollar, are reflected in the GDP’s first quarter contraction of 0.2%. Nevertheless, June’s estimate is better than had been reported in May (-0.7%), with exports not lagging quite so far and consumer spending better than first estimated, which may be leading a favorable economy for the latter part of 2015.
  • In another sign of some economic prosperity, the Department of the Treasury reports that through May, the federal deficit for fiscal 2015 was $365.2 billion–16.3% lower year-on-year. Government receipts were up 9%, although government spending also increased 6%.
  • The second quarter saw an increase in consumers’ income and spending. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported consumer spending increased 0.9%–the largest increase since August 2009. Income increased 0.5% in May, following a similar 0.5% increase in April. The fact that more consumers are spending is indicative of their growing confidence in the economy. The University of Michigan’s Consumer Survey jumped to 97.8–the highest it’s been in about 12 years.
  • Inflationary trends continued on a rather benign track through the quarter, still well below the Federal Reserve’s 2% annual target. The Consumer Price Index rose 0.4%–the largest gain since February 2013. However, the increase is primarily attributable to rising gasoline and energy prices. While producer prices increased 0.5% in the second quarter, overall, they are down 1.1% on the year. Generally, annual core inflation has remained between 1.6% and 2% since mid-2012.
  • Following a slow but steady trend that began toward the end of the first quarter, the housing sector has started to take off in the second quarter. According to the National Association of Realtors®, total existing home sales jumped 5.1% in May to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.35 million–9.2% above a year ago. The median existing-home price for all housing types in May was $228,700, which marks the 39th consecutive month of year-over-year price gains. New home sales also increased, moving from 494,000 in March to 546,000 in May–a gain of 10.5%, according to the Census Bureau.
  • More people are working and fewer are filing for unemployment insurance. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the labor participation rate grew to 62.9%, nonfarm payroll employment increased by 280,000, yet the unemployment rate was essentially unchanged on the year at 5.5%. Jobless claims are at historic lows with initial claims at 271,000 toward the end of June, while continuing claims held at 2.247 million, according to the Department of Labor.

Eye on the Month Ahead

All eyes will continue to focus on the financial crisis in Greece. Will the initial negative impact on the markets in response to Greece’s shuttered banks, repayment default, and the prospect of the country’s exit from the eurozone continue to drive markets further into negative territory? Will the Federal Reserve provide more information on the timing of the anticipated interest rate hike? Will the dollar increase in strength, further softening domestic exports?

Data sources: Economic: Based on data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (unemployment, inflation); U.S. Department of Commerce (GDP, corporate profits, retail sales, housing); S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index (home prices); Institute for Supply Management (manufacturing/services). Performance: Based on data reported in WSJ Market Data Center (indexes) and Barron’s (S&P 2014 total return); U.S. Treasury (Treasury yields); U.S. Energy Information Administration/ Market Data (oil spot price, WTI Cushing, OK); (spot gold/silver); Oanda/FX Street (currency exchange rates). All information is based on sources deemed reliable, but no warranty or guarantee is made as to its accuracy or completeness. News items are based on reports from multiple commonly available international news sources (i.e. wire services) and are independently verified when necessary with secondary sources such as government agencies, corporate press releases, or trade organizations. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed herein constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any securities, and should not be relied on as financial advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. All investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal, and there can be no guarantee that any investing strategy will be successful.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is a price-weighted index composed of 30 widely traded blue-chip U.S. common stocks. The S&P 500 is a market-cap weighted index composed of the common stocks of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market-value weighted index of all common stocks listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. The Russell 2000 is a market-cap weighted index composed of 2000 U.S. small-cap common stocks. The Global Dow is an equally weighted index of 150 widely traded blue-chip common stocks worldwide. The U.S. Dollar Index is a geometrically weighted index of the value of the U.S. dollar relative to six foreign currencies. Market indices listed are unmanaged and are not available for direct investment.

did you know?

The 11 Sectors of Equal Sector Allocation

A number of investments, funds, and indices, attempting to capitalize on the Equal Sector Allocation strategy, generally apportion investments between nine or ten sectors. Traditional sector selection includes 10 sectors: consumer discretionary, consumer staples, energy, financial, healthcare, information technology, materials, telecommunications, utilities, and industrials.

Beacon Capital Management, however, goes a step further in terms of risk optimization and diversification including real estate as an eleventh sector because of its uniqueness in domestic and global markets.

bright ideas

Beat the Heat

Don’t Get Burnt with Your Income Investment Strategy!

Temperatures are rising…and interest rates might not be far behind. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen recently confirmed in her semiannual testimony before Congress that if our economy continues as expected, we may see interest rates increase before year-end. While the return to a more normal monetary policy has it’s upsides, it is important to note; as demonstrated by recent financial strains in Greece, China and Puerto Rico; our markets are impacted by a global economy, and the need for a total return investment strategy has never been greater.

Modern Challenges for Retirees

Gone are the days where a mix of blue chips and bonds provide sufficient income for the average retiree. Rising taxes, inflation, healthcare costs and longevity met with a near zero interest rate environment creates unique challenges for conservative investors today.

4 Common Income Investment Strategies Primed for a Meltdown

  1. Overweighting long-term bonds (extended duration)

    Bonds have long served as a staple income provider in a retirement portfolio; however, the near zero interest rate environment we have been experiencing since 2008 has kept yields to a minimum. If you are presented with a bond producing greater than average returns today, one of the “secrets” may be an extended duration or time commitment to the vehicle. While bonds are traditionally seen as conservative investments, they have an inverse relationship with interest rates. When rates go up, as we expect by year-end, the principal value goes down. The longer the duration, the more exposed your portfolio will be to this interest rate risk should an investor need to cash in before it comes to maturity.

  2. Overweighting high-yield bonds and/or underweighting Treasury bonds

    Another approach that may be used to find income in the bond world today includes the use of “high-yield” or “junk bonds.” These investments are willing to pay a higher yield due to the lower, below investment grade credit ratings; this results in an increased credit risk to a portfolio, or chance of default on the investment.

  3. Shifting the equity sub-asset allocation by overweighting value and dividend-centric equities

    Due to the limitations of credit and interest rate risk needed to produce yield from bonds today, some retired investors are looking towards their equities to produce greater dividends to help compensate. The first of these techniques maintains the same portfolio balance, say a 60-40 split between stocks and bonds, but reallocates the equities into more dividend-focused stocks. The problem this approach creates is an improper balance of diversification between asset sectors. Utilities, for example, tend to produce consistent dividends as families turn on the lights in any economy; however, we saw this sector jump from top performing in 2011 to bottom of the barrel in 2012. This type of movement can create significant volatility within a retirement portfolio if there is overexposure to any given sector.

  4. Shifting a portion of the bond allocation to dividend-centric equity

    Similarly, some retirees are going so far as to rely more on equities than on bonds for income, shifting the balance of their portfolio to take on more market exposure. While this may produce the 4-6% dividends being sought after, the principle of the investment may be subject to greater volatility than is truly comfortable.

A Total Return Approach

To address the complex needs of today’s income investors, Beacon Capital Management relies on a Total Return Approach. More than just the up and down capital movement of an investment, we take into account all of the various factors that amount to the bottom line, from interest rates, dividends and distributions, internal fees and capital gains. By utilizing more modern investment vehicles, like ETFs, we are able to keep internal fees and taxes to a minimum while maintaining an equal sector diversification evenly across 11 market sectors to help avoid over- and under-weighting within a portfolio. To learn more about Beacon’s portfolio options, visit today.

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Today’s low-yield environment demands shift from fixed-income to next-generation portfolio strategy. For more information about the Total Return Investing Strategy behind Vantage 2.0 portfolios, download our white paper, “Total Return Investing a Retirement Planning Necessity.” Download the white paper now.



Beacon Capital Management, Inc. is an investment advisory firm registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Additional information about Beacon Capital Management is also available on the SEC’s website at under CRD number 120641. Beacon Capital Management only transacts business in states where it is properly registered, or excluded or exempted from registration requirements.

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